Brian Shields napoveduje dež in veter v Evropi
Izvirni naslov vira: Obsežen atlantski sistem bo močno vplival na Evropo ...
Meteorolog v napovedi z dne 7. novembra opozarja na nevarnost poplav na Portugalskem in v Španiji, kjer naj bi vztrajen atlantski ciklon prinašal ponavljajoče se padavine.
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Kaj pravi
- Obsežna atlantska cirkulacija naj bi vztrajala ves delovni teden po 7. novembru 2026 in ob slabenju prevladujočega območja visokega zračnega tlaka v Evropo pošiljala vedno nove vremenske motnje. Ob obalah Irske, Portugalske, Španije in Francije bi sunki vetra lahko dosegali okoli 80 km/h. V več državah južne in zahodne Evrope je napovedana nadpovprečna količina dežja, zlasti na Portugalskem in v Španiji. V noči z nedelje na ponedeljek se bo dež začel širiti na Iberski polotok ter proti Franciji, Alpam in Italiji, od torka do srede pa bodo Iberski polotok zajele nove obilne padavine. Nato se bo verjetnost dežja povečala na Britanskem otočju, na severu celinske Evrope in v delih vzhodne Evrope, čeprav naj bi bile količine na vzhodu manjše. Temperature bodo večinoma ostale ustaljene, morski zrak pa bo prinesel nekaj otoplitve in omejeval sneženje, tudi v nekaterih višjih legah. Sneg bo še vedno mogoč v Alpah, na Islandiji in v Skandinaviji. Največ skrbi vzbuja napoved od 100 do 200 mm dežja v delih Portugalske in Španije, pri čemer bi lahko v kratkih nalivih padlo več kot 100 mm. Prebivalci poplavno ogroženih krajev naj bodo pripravljeni na umik na višje ležeča območja.
- Dež naj bi zajel Portugalsko in Španijo ter se širil proti Franciji, Švici, Alpam in Italiji predvsem v noči z nedelje, 8. novembra, na ponedeljek, 9. novembra 2026. u14 ·
- Portugalska in Španija naj bi od torka do srede, 10.–11. novembra 2026, poleg dežja iz predhodnih dni prejeli še dodatne obilne padavine. u16 ·
- V sredo, 11. novembra 2026, naj bi se dež začel širiti na Dansko, Nizozemsko in v Nemčijo, medtem ko bo še naprej deževalo na območju Irske in Združenega kraljestva. u20 · V govorjeni napovedi je navedena sreda, spremljajoča slika pa prikazuje četrtkov časovni žig modela.
- Napoved sneženja do 16. novembra ponekod predvideva več kot 20 cm snega, pri čemer je posebej izpostavljena Norveška z obilnimi pošiljkami snega in dežja. u28–29 · Podatek 20 cm velja za nekatere kraje v napovedi, ne pa za Norveško ali druge navedene države v celoti.
- Na posameznih lokacijah v Združenem kraljestvu in na Irskem bi lahko po petdnevni napovedi padlo približno 75–100 mm dežja. u30 · Enota v milimetrih in petdnevno obdobje seštevanja padavin sta navedena na spremljajočem zemljevidu napovedi.
- V delih Portugalske in Španije je napovedanih 100–200 mm dežja, pri čemer bi lahko v močnejših nalivih v kratkem času padlo več kot 100 mm. u32–33 · Te količine so navedene v razlagi petdnevne napovedi padavin; Shields pojasni, da bodo padavine na Iberskem polotoku dež, ne sneg.
- Ponekod v osrednji Italiji bi se lahko ob dotoku vlage okoli sredine tedna količina padavin približala 100 mm. u35 · Količina je navedena v razlagi skupnih količin padavin, ki vključuje opozorilo, da bo del padavin padel v obliki snega.
- V obalnih krajih na Irskem, Portugalskem, v Španiji in Franciji naj bi med dolgotrajnim atlantskim nevihtnim dogajanjem sunki vetra občasno presegali 80 km/h. u36 · Napoved se nanaša na sunke, ne na stalno hitrost vetra.
- Prebivalci poplavno ogroženih delov Portugalske in Španije naj bodo ob zelo obilnem deževju pripravljeni poiskati drugo lokacijo ali se umakniti na višje ležeča območja. u34 · Nasvet je namenjen ljudem, ki živijo v bližini krajev, ki bi jih ob napovedanem obilnem deževju lahko zalila voda.
- Morski zrak, ki ob atlantski cirkulaciji doteka v Evropo, ustvarja razmere za nadpovprečne temperature, zlasti v Sredozemlju. u9 · Dotok vlage v nevihtni sistem ne pomeni obsežnega prodora hladnega zraka.
- Atlantska cirkulacija v Evropo vedno znova pošilja vremenske motnje, razporejene kot napere kolesa, pri tem pa doteka dodatna vlaga, ki skozi teden vzdržuje obilno deževje. u11–12 · Ponavljajoče se motnje pojasnjujejo, zakaj se deževje nadaljuje, namesto da bi se končalo po prehodu ene fronte.
- Obsežna atlantska cirkulacija naj bi vse do konca delovnega tedna po 7. novembru 2026 nad Evropo vzdrževala burno vremensko dogajanje, ne pa prešla kot en sam kratkotrajen dogodek. u4–6 ·
- V prihodnjem delovnem tednu in naslednji konec tedna je v delih Hrvaške, Italije, Švice, Francije, Portugalske in Španije napovedana nadpovprečna količina dežja, z največjimi odstopanji na Portugalskem in v Španiji. u8 ·
- Ob razpadanju območja visokega zračnega tlaka naj bi dež zajel večji del Evrope, vendar naj bi vzhodni predeli prejeli manj dežja kot zahodni, ki ležijo najbližje atlantski cirkulaciji. u24–25 ·
- Obilno deževje najbolj ogroža Portugalsko in Španijo, zlasti območja od Madrida proti zahodu, kjer so po napovedih hudourniške poplave verjetne in bi lahko ogrožale življenja. u32–34 ·
- Temperature v Evropi naj bi v naslednjih nekaj dneh ostale večinoma ustaljene, brez večjega prodora hladnega zraka ali izrazite otoplitve. u37–38 ·
- Več vlage prinaša možnosti za sneženje v Alpah, vendar neobičajno topla zračna masa omejuje sneg, tudi sneženje v nekaterih višjih predelih. u28 · Kljub temperaturni omejitvi sneg ostaja v napovedi za Avstrijo, Švico, Italijo in dele Francije.
- Zemljevidi skupnih količin padavin vse padavine prikazujejo v tekočem ekvivalentu, zato velikih količin na Norveškem in Islandiji ne gre v celoti razumeti kot dež. u30–32 · Ali bodo padavine na severu padale kot dež ali sneg, je odvisno od nadmorske višine in lokacije.
- Vztrajna atlantska nevihtna cirkulacija bo Evropi prinesla dolgotrajen veter in ponavljajoče se obilno deževje, najresnejša nevarnost hudourniških poplav pa bo na Portugalskem in v Španiji. Kako bo vztrajna atlantska nevihtna cirkulacija v prihodnjem tednu vplivala na veter, padavine, poplave, temperature in sneg v Evropi?
Kako utemeljuje
- thesis Persistent Atlantic storms threaten Europe, especially Iberia with flooding How will the persistent Atlantic storm circulation affect Europe's wind, rainfall, flooding, temperatures and snow through the coming week?
- theme A sustained storm pattern The Atlantic circulation repeatedly feeds disturbances into Europe, prolonging stormy weather and strong coastal winds.
- theme Rain spreads unevenly across Europe Rain becomes more widespread as high pressure weakens, but western Europe receives the greatest amounts.
- idea Rain spreads eastward but remains heavier westward
- idea Liquid-equivalent precipitation maps include snow, not just rain
- theme Iberia faces the greatest flood danger Repeated heavy rainfall threatens potentially life-threatening flash flooding in Portugal and Spain, requiring readiness to move to safety.
- theme Mild air limits snowfall opportunities Temperatures remain broadly steady and often above average, limiting snowfall despite plentiful moisture.
Vir, odlomek za odlomkom
Prepis, preveden z umetno inteligenco iz angleščine.
- u1 Sobota je, 7. novembra 2026. Sem meteorolog Brian Shields. Vrača se vremenski vzorec z močnimi nevihtnimi sistemi. V prihodnjih nekaj dneh se bo nad nami zadrževal velikanski vrtinec. Ta bo dneve in dneve povzročal močan veter. Poleg tega bo nekaterim med nami prinesel obilne padavine in s tem nevarnost resnih hudourniških poplav.It's Saturday, the 7th of November, 2026. I'm meteorologist Brian Shields. The big storm pattern is back. A giant spin over the next several days is going to stick around. This is going to be a big wind maker for days and days. Plus, it's going to produce for some of us significant rainfall in that concern for some serious flash flooding out of this.
0:01 · Weather presenter beside globe radar map: Storm Pattern Arrives · A video still shows a man in a checked button-up shirt standing in front of a large screen, gesturing with one hand and holding a small clicker in the other. The screen displays a globe centered on the North Atlantic and Europe with radar-style precipitation in green, yellow and red. A banner at top right reads "STORM PATTERN ARRIVES", and an orange hurricane-style logo sits at bottom right. - u2 Pogledali bomo, kako je to povezano z obeti za sneg in splošnimi vremenskimi obeti za preostanek tedna. Hvala torej, da ste tukaj na Mr. Weatherman Europe. Zaradi tega manjšega zapleta v vremenskem vzorcu imamo veliko za obdelati. Poglejte to spremembo. V prejšnjih videih smo govorili o visokem zračnem tlaku, o tem, da ima glavno besedo ta vrtinec, o nekakšnih grebenih, če hočete, s prevladujočim območjem visokega zračnega tlaka.We'll take a look how this ties into the snow outlook and the outlook overall as we go throughout the rest of the week. So, thank you for being here, Mr. Weatherman Europe. We have lots to cover with this little wrinkle to the pattern. Look at this change. Previous videos, we've talked about high pressure, that spinning control, some of that ridging around, if you will, with a dominant area of high pressure.
0:22 · Muddy brown floodwater rushing past rocks · A close-up video still shows fast-moving, turbulent water the color of tan and brown mud, with churning waves and foam. Dark rocks sit at the upper left and a gray rock at the upper right edge. The sediment-heavy color and rough surface suggest a flood or swollen river. 0:32 · Weather presenter in front of Europe precipitation forecast model · A video still shows a man in a checked shirt standing before a large screen with a globe centered on Europe and the North Atlantic. The map overlays a forecast model in green, yellow and red, where red marks the heaviest values. Bands of heavy activity appear over the Atlantic, the British Isles' west, Scandinavia and eastern Europe. A timestamp reads Model: 7/11/2026 Saturday 15:00. - u3 Tukaj pa dobimo ta vrtinec. Različne države in različne vlade ga bodo poimenovale različno. Če torej slišite za poimenovan sistem, gre za ta vrtinec tukaj. Bistveno pa je, da se v tem grebenu pojavi nekakšna vrzel in da se bo ta južni del višinskega zračnega toka v prihodnjih dneh močno okrepil.But here, we get this spin. Now, different countries, different governments will give this different names. So, you're hearing of a name system. It's this spin here. But the point is we get kind of a break in that ridge and we see more of this southern piece of this jetream really cranking up over the next few days.
- u4 Ta vrtinec bo torej tam dneve in dneve ter s svojim kroženjem prinašal posamezne sunke energije, kaže pa, da bo proti zahodu dogajanje še bolj živahno. To bomo spremljali v nadaljevanju. Zdaj pa poglejte, kako ta vrtinec vztraja prav tukaj ob Azorih. Tukaj je.So we're going to have this spin out there for days and days just rotating in pieces of energy and it looks to get even more active back toward the west. We'll be tracking that as we work our way forward. Now look how this spin sticks around right right here by the Azors. Here it is.
1:05 · Jet Stream Tracker forecast map over North Atlantic and Europe · A video still shows a presenter in a checkered shirt standing beside a large screen with a "Jet Stream Tracker" map of the North Atlantic and Europe. Jet stream speeds are color-coded from green (weaker) through yellow to red (strongest). Two strong red-yellow cores appear: one off the northeast North American coast and one over Norway and Sweden. A weaker green band runs across Iberia and northwest Africa. - u5 Tukaj so Kanarski otoki, Portugalska, Španija. Če od danes pogledamo več dni naprej, vse do sredine in celo konca tedna, bo tukaj še vedno nekakšen vrtinec. To je ta velikanski vrtinec. Njegov vpliv bo res zelo velik. To lahko vidite sami.Here we are in the Canary Islands, Portugal, Spain. Days and days from today, working our way forward all the way through the middle and even end of the week. Still some sort of a spin sitting here. That is that giant spin. This is going to be so very impactful. You see it for yourself.
- u6 Ne gre samo za en majhen del, ki se pomakne nad nas, temveč za večdnevno kroženje. Predvsem na obalnih območjih bomo zato več dni imeli veter, ki bo ob koncu tedna in nato še v prihodnjem tednu v sunkih dosegal približno 80 kilometrov na uro. Šlo bo torej za precej dolgotrajno dogajanje.It's not just one little piece that moves in for days and days just rotating around. So, especially coastal areas, we're going to for days have some of those winds that will be gusting to about 80 kilometers per hour through the weekend and then also right into next week. So, kind of a a prolonged event with this.
1:38 · Future winds forecast over Europe and North Atlantic · A video still shows a man in a checkered shirt standing beside a large screen with a "Future Winds" model map of the North Atlantic and Europe, dated 12/11/2026 Thursday 15:00. Strong winds (magenta/purple, about 56–80 km/h) cover the Atlantic west of Ireland, the UK, Portugal and Iceland. Much of continental Europe is calmer. A colour legend maps speeds from 24 to 200 km/h. - u7 Kaj pa to pomeni za padavine? Spet, mnogi med nami po poletju, zdaj ko že korakamo skozi jesen, marsikje še vedno občutimo sušne razmere. Na južnih območjih bo več možnosti za dež in to je tesno povezano z nekaterimi prejšnjimi napovedmi, o katerih smo govorili: z vlago, ki doteka iz Sredozemlja, in z območji, kjer vidite te zelene in nekatere modre odtenke.Now, what does it do for rainfall? And again, a lot of us as we still come off of summertime and we're now marching our way through autumn, we're still dealing with those drought conditions in many spots. Well, southern areas that better chance of rain and this really ties into some of the previous outlooks we've been talking about, that moisture kind of feeding in off of the Mediterranean and where you see these greens and some of these blues.
2:11 · ECMWF 7-day precipitation anomaly forecast for Europe · A video still shows a presenter pointing at a screen with an ECMWF extended ensemble map of Europe. It shows the 7-day precipitation anomaly in mm, initialized 6 Nov 2026 and valid to 16 Nov 2026. Green marks wetter-than-normal areas and brown marks drier-than-normal areas. The strongest wet anomalies, in blue, are over Iberia (Spain and Portugal), northern Italy, and the western Balkans. Much of the British Isles and parts of central and eastern Europe are drier. - u8 Torej kjer koli, denimo na Hrvaškem, v Italiji, izberite si kraj, hm, v delih Švice, Francije, na Portugalskem, v Španiji, hm, bomo v prihajajočem delovnem tednu in vse do naslednjega konca tedna videli nadpovprečno količino dežja, na Portugalskem in v Španiji pa občutno nadpovprečno. Skupne količine bodo ponekod ogromne in to bomo spremljali v nadaljevanju.So anywhere from say Croatia, Italy, pick your spot, uh parts of Switzerland, France, Portugal, Spain, uh we're going to see above average rain into the upcoming working week into next weekend, but significantly above average Portugal and Spain. We're going to have some huge totals and we'll be tracking that as we go ahead.
- u9 Kar zadeva temperature, del te, no, v tem letnem času ne ravno tropske zračne mase, hm, ampak bolje rečeno morske zračne mase, bo ta vrtinec še naprej dovajal nad nas. Zato bo nekoliko topleje od povprečja, zlasti po Sredozemlju. Ponekod, na Norveškem, kot vemo, hm, in če pogledamo proti Poljski, pa bodo nekatere temperature pod povprečjem.Now, as far as temperatures go, some of this kind of not tropical air mass this time of year, uh but just kind of that maritime air mass, I should say, with this spin out there still feeding that in. So, we're going to be a little bit warmer than average, especially across the Mediterranean. Some spots, Norway, as we know, uh, watching back toward Poland running below average with some of those temperatures.
2:44 · ECMWF temperature outlook map for Europe, week of 9 November 2026 · A still from a weather video shows a presenter pointing at a large screen with an ECMWF extended-range map of 2m temperature anomalies across Europe for 9–16 Nov 2026. Warmer-than-normal anomalies (orange to red) cover eastern and southern Europe, strongest in the far northeast of the map. Cooler-than-normal areas (blue) appear over Iceland, the UK, Scandinavia's southwest coast, Poland and the Black Sea and Turkey region. - u10 Na Škotskem in Islandiji bodo temperature v delovnem tednu, v prihodnjem tednu, pod povprečjem. Temperature bomo pogledali čez trenutek. Za mnoge med nami bodo ostajale podobne. Ampak poglejte, kaj se zgodi tukaj. Rad bi približal prikaz, kar je v tem videu zelo pomembno. Hvala za potrpežljivost. Doslej je prevladoval visok zračni tlak. Med današnjim dnem spremljamo to, to kroženje, ki se zadržuje tam zunaj.Scotland and Iceland running below average through the working week into next week. We'll cover the temperatures in just a second. Those for many of us are going to be holding. But watch what happens here. And I want to zoom down, which is very important in this video. So, thank you for your patience. High pressure has been in control. As we go through the day, we're watching this this circulation that's just sitting out there.
- u11 In tam bo ostalo več dni, potem pa nekako kot napere na kolesu prihajajo ti posamezni sunki energije; to je čez nekaj dni. Tukaj je torej ponedeljek in vidimo, da se vremenski vzorec začenja rušiti. Nad Ukrajino, Poljsko in Romunijo je še vedno visok zračni tlak. Hm, vendar prihajajo ti valovi energije.and it will be sitting there for days, but then you kind of like spokes on a wheel. You get these pieces of energy that move in this a couple days from now. So, this here Monday, and we start to see the pattern breaking down. High pressure still over Ukraine, Poland, and Romania. Uh, but we get these waves of energy moving in.
3:17 · Weather presenter at Europe forecast model map · A man in a checked shirt stands beside a large screen showing a globe-style radar forecast map of Europe and the North Atlantic, labeled "Future Weather" with a model time of Monday 9/11/2026 15:00. He reaches toward Scandinavia while green, yellow and red rain bands appear west of Portugal and Ireland, near the Azores and Canary Islands, and over parts of Iberia. - u12 A bodite pozorni, če lahko to nekako razločite: tako kot sem vam pokazal na zemljevidu vetra, se še vedno vrti. Ta vrtinec bomo v bližini Irske in Francije videvali še dneve in dneve. S svojim kroženjem še naprej prinaša dež, ki pa bo večinoma močan. Tukaj je to kroženje, ki vsrkava še več vlage, močan dež in dež, ki povzroča poplave, ko se pomikamo globlje v teden.But note that, if you could kind of make it out, like I showed you on that wind map, still rotating around. We'll be still seeing this spin near Ireland and France for days and days. and that continues to pivot in rain, but a lot of this will be heavy. There's that rotation right there drawing in even more moisture, heavy rain, flooding rain as we get deeper into the week.
- u13 Videli bomo torej, kako se to pomika od zahoda proti vzhodu. Še bolj živahno bo. V Nemčiji bomo na primer do četrtka imeli več možnosti za dež. Pojdimo torej po posameznih območjih. Potrudil se bom, da nikogar ne izpustim. Če vas ne omenim, hm, ni zato, ker vas ne bi hotel. Samo pomikamo se po zemljevidu. Poglejmo jutrišnji dan.So, we'll see this shifting from the west off toward the east. Even more active. Germany, for example, by Thursday, we're going to get a better chance of rain. So, let's go area by area. Do my best not to leave anyone out. If I don't mention you, uh it's not because I'm not meaning to. We're just kind of going around here. Let's get into tomorrow.
3:50 · Weather presenter explaining Europe future-weather rain forecast map · A video still shows a man in a checked shirt gesturing toward a large screen with a globe-style map of Europe and the North Atlantic. Radar-style rain is shown in green, yellow and red over Spain, Italy, Germany, the UK, Ireland and Scandinavia. The label says it is a model forecast for Thursday 12/11/2026 at 15:00. - u14 Velikanski vrtinec se bo začel poznati. Kot sem omenil, bomo imeli sunkovit veter. Nekateri sunki bodo dosegali tudi več kot 80 km/h. Dež pa bo začel prodirati zlasti v noči z nedelje na ponedeljek. Portugalska, Španija, nato proti delom Francije. Naprej proti Švici, proti Alpam, vključno z Italijo.The big spin starting to be felt. We'll get the gusty winds as I mentioned. Some of those winds will be gusting upwards of 80 km/h. But the rain starts to drive in especially Sunday night into Monday. Portugal, Spain, moving toward parts of France. Get over towards Switzerland, back toward the Alps, Italy included.
- u15 Nekaj snega v višjih legah. S prihodom več vlage se bo začelo tudi to. A spet, ta zračna masa je toplejša kot običajno. To bo omejilo sneženje. V visokogorju bo sneg kar v redu. Dobro. Potem, ko se pomikamo skozi teden, je tukaj torek, ko to prehaja čez območje. Vidite ga tam, prihaja pa še več naper, več posameznih sunkov energije.Some higher terrain snow. We're going to start to get that with more moisture moving in. But again, this air mass warmer than usual. So that's going to limit some of the snow. High elevation snow will do. Okay. Then as we go throughout the week, this is Tuesday working across. You see it there, but more spokes, more pieces of energy moving in.
4:23 · Future weather rain forecast map of Western Europe · A video still shows a large screen with a "Future Weather" model map of Western Europe and the Mediterranean, dated 10/11/2026 Tuesday 03:00. Green areas mark precipitation, and yellow, orange and red cores mark heavier rain. The heaviest cells sit over central Spain near Madrid. More rain covers France, the Alps, northern Italy and the Atlantic. A man stands at the left edge of the frame, partly visible and pointing toward the screen. - u16 Poglejte to. Portugalska, Španija, prav tukaj. Od torka do srede obilne padavine. In to poleg tega, kar nas čaka v prihodnjih nekaj dneh. Pokazal vam bom skupne količine. Zelo visoke so. Velika zaskrbljenost zaradi hudih poplav, hudourniških poplav v delih Portugalske in Španije. Prosim, razširite to opozorilo.Look at that. Portugal, Spain right there. Tuesday into Wednesday, significant rainfall. And that's on top of what we're going to have over the next couple of days. I'll show you these totals. They are very high. High concerns of intense flooding, flash flooding, parts of Portugal and Spain. Please get that word out.
- u17 Potem, ko se pomaknemo naprej do četrtka, ta vlaga doteka čez otoke in se pomika proti severu, medtem ko se vrtinec približuje. Še vedno nekako kroži, hm, prav tukaj nekoliko zahodno od Francije in dovaja še več vlage.And then as we go forward into Thursday, that moisture feeding across the islands, lifting up to the north as this spin gets closer. It's still kind of rotating around. uh just off toward the west of France right here filtering in even more moisture.
4:56 · Weather forecaster presenting rain forecast map of Western Europe · A still from a weather video shows a man in a checked shirt gesturing at a large screen labeled "Future Weather". The map covers Western and Southern Europe with green rain areas and yellow, orange and red patches of heavier precipitation. A white arrow runs from North Africa past Mallorca and Sardinia toward northern Italy, with the heaviest rain near Monaco, Marseille and northern Italy. - u18 Torej še enkrat: naročite se ali pa ne, toda ta poplavna nevarnost je precejšnja. Portugalska in Španija, prosim, razširite opozorilo. Hvaležen bom, če to preprosto delite v skupinskih klepetih. Hej, hm, prihaja pomemben vremenski dogodek. To bomo obravnavali čez trenutek. Naj vas popeljem po zemljevidu. Hm, poskušam zajeti vse. Norveška, hm, Švedska, tukaj je Islandija, Nizozemska, Danska, Belgija, Francija.So again, subscribe or don't subscribe, but this flood threat is substantial. Portugal and Spain, please get the word out. I appreciate you just dropping this in group chats. Hey, uh we've got a significant event that is going to be moving in. We'll cover that in just a moment. Let me take you around. Uh trying to cover everyone. Norway, uh Sweden, here's Iceland, the Netherlands, Denmark, Belgium, France.
- u19 Hm, doslej je prevladoval visok zračni tlak. Estonija, Latvija, Litva, Švedska, Finska. To se bo umikalo proti vzhodu. In vidite, kako se začne približevati ta energija. Naj tukaj ustavim. To je v torek. V torek bo več možnosti za dež. Severna Irska, Irska, deli Walesa. Spremljamo tudi območje proti Angliji.Uh we've had high pressure and control. Estonia, Lapia, Lithuania, Sweden, Finland. that's going to be sliding off toward the east. And you see how this energy starts to move in. Let me stop it here. This on Tuesday. Tuesday, we get a better chance of rain. Northern Ireland, Ireland, parts of Wales. Watching over toward England.
5:29 · Weather forecaster presenting Europe future-weather model map · A man in a checked shirt stands beside a large screen showing a satellite-style map of northern Europe with a forecast-radar overlay. The header reads "FUTURE WEATHER, Model: 9/11/2026 Monday 15:00". Green, yellow and orange precipitation bands lie over the Norwegian Sea, north of Scotland, west of the British Isles and in the far northeast. A white curved band runs along the Norwegian coast, and the man gestures toward the North Sea and UK area. - u20 Videli bomo, ali bo ta dež prišel tudi tja. Spet, mnogi med nami se še vedno spopadamo s sušnimi razmerami, a z napredovanjem tedna, od torka do srede, bomo imeli več možnosti za dež. V sredo bodo Danska, Nizozemska in Nemčija začele dobivati nekaj tega dežja. Tukaj je vrtinec, še vedno je prisoten. Še vedno tudi dež proti Irski in Združenemu kraljestvu.We'll see if this rain kind of moves in. Again, a lot of us still dealing with the drought conditions, but we'll get that better chance as the week goes on from Tuesday into Wednesday. Wednesday, Denmark, the Netherlands, Germany will start to get some of that rain filtering in. Here's that spin still around. Still that rain over toward Ireland in the UK.
6:02 · Future weather rain forecast map of Northern Europe · A video still shows a presenter's hand pointing at a large screen with a forecast radar map of Northern Europe, labelled "Future Weather", model for Thursday 12/11/2026 at 15:00. Green rain areas, with yellow and red patches marking heavier precipitation, cover the British Isles, western France, Germany, the Baltic states, Belarus and the Atlantic west of Ireland. Scandinavia and Russia are mostly dry. - u21 Norveška, seveda, tam nas vreme že močno tepe. Spremljam vaše komentarje; iz nekega razloga, dobrega razloga, na tem kanalu dobivam veliko komentarjev iz Norveške. Hvala, da mi sporočate te informacije. Hm, vidite pa, kako to napreduje čez Nemčijo, Poljsko, naprej proti Belorusiji, Litvi, Latviji, Estoniji.Norway, of course, we've been getting hit hard. I've been watching your comments for whatever reason, a good reason. Get a lot of comments from Norway on this channel. Thank you for giving me those updates. Uh, but you see how this progresses across Germany, Poland, back toward Bellarus, Lithuania, Lavia, Estonia.
- u22 Z napredovanjem tedna območje visokega zračnega tlaka slabi in to dogajanje doseže več nas. Globlje v teden, v delovni teden, je dogajanje samo še bolj živahno. Zdaj pa pojdimo na jug. To sem že obdelal. Če to zakrivam, ni namerno. To območje sem vam pokazal. Rad bi se pomaknil bolj proti, hm, vzhodu, da zajamem vse.As the week goes on, high pressure breaks down in this action moves in for more of us. Deeper into the week, it working week. It only gets more active. Now, let's get to the south. I covered this. If I'm blocking this, it's not intentional. I showed you this area. I want to swing more to the uh east just to cover everyone.
- u23 Tukaj je ponedeljek. Vidite nekaj ploh v Grčiji, Črni gori. Tukaj je Turčija. Tukaj je Bolgarija. Samo naštevam nekaj krajev. In vidite, kako to napreduje, podobno kot na severu: ko pridemo do sredine tedna in še dlje v teden, dobimo več dežja. Slovaška, ponekod se primeša celo sneg, na Poljskem nekaj tega dežja.This here is Monday. See some of the showers in Greece, Montenegro. Here's Turkey. Here's Bulgaria. Just naming a couple spots. And you see how it progresses like up north by we the time we get into midweek and deeper into the week, we get more rain. Slovakia, even some snow mixing in Poland, some of that rain.
6:35 · Future weather radar model map of Europe · A still from a weather video shows a large screen with a forecast precipitation map of Europe and the Mediterranean, labeled "Future Weather, Model: 9/11/2026 Monday 15:00". Green and yellow rain patches lie over the Atlantic west of Ireland, Portugal, Spain, western France, the Alps and Switzerland, and Greece. A presenter's arm and hand reach toward the Atlantic rain band at the left edge. - u24 Madžarska, pomikamo, pomikamo se proti Romuniji, Moldaviji, Ukrajini; od torka do srede bo bolj živahno, z nekaj dežja. Tukaj je ta dež, ki povzroča poplave v delih Portugalske in Španije, ko pridemo do, hm, srede in četrtka, nato pa še naprej doteka in se pomika proti severu. Luksemburg, Švica, Avstrija, imeli bomo obdobja dežja in občasno celo nekaj snega v višjih legah, nato pa se bo to nekako premaknilo proti severu.Hungary moving moving toward Romania, Muldova, Ukraine, more active Tuesday into Wednesday getting some rain. Here's that flooding rain parts of Portugal and Spain by the time we get into uh Wednesday and Thursday and then it just kind of feeds in lifting up to the north. Luxembourg, Switzerland, Austria, we're going to see periods of rain and even some higher terrain snow at times and then kind of shifting up to the north.
7:08 · Europe future-weather radar forecast with presenter, 12/11/2026 · A video still shows a man in a checked shirt standing beside a large screen with a forecast radar map of Europe. The label reads "Future Weather, Model: 12/11/2026 Thursday 15:00". Green rain bands with yellow, orange and red cores are heaviest over the western Mediterranean near Corsica and Sardinia and northern Italy. More rain shows over Germany, the Low Countries, Ireland and the UK, and over Belarus. - u25 Torej ne prav toliko, ko se pomikamo proti, hm, vzhodu, a vseeno bomo imeli nekaj obdobij dežja. Spet pa je glavnina na zahodu, ker se tam zadržuje ta vrtinec. Zdaj pa temperature; to bo precej splošen pregled, kajne? Hm, v prihodnjih dveh dneh ne vidim velikih razlik.So, not quite as much as we work our way off toward the uh east, but we will see some rounds of rain. But again, the focus to the west because that's where that spin is just sitting. Now, temperatures, this is going to be a broad brush, right? Uh I'm not seeing a big difference over the next two days.
- u26 Torej približno tam, kjer ste zdaj, bomo na splošno tudi ostali. Da, ponekod bodo temperature nekoliko padle. Ponekod bo, kot sem omenil, malo topleje. Vidite, kako se v ponedeljek ta toplota začne nekoliko bolj krepiti s tem morskim tokom, ki prihaja z morja. Portugalska, Španija in Francija.So kind of where you are right now is generally where we're going to be. Yes, there'll be some dips in spots. Some spots as I mentioned a little bit warmer. You see some of that warmth Monday starting to build in a little bit more with that maritime flow coming in off the water. Portugal, Spain, and France.
7:41 · Temperature Tracker forecast map of Europe and North Africa · A video still shows a man in a checked shirt standing beside a large screen with a "Temperature Tracker" model map centered on Europe, North Africa and western Asia. The map is dated Monday 9/11/2026 at 15:00. Warm yellow, orange and red colors cover North Africa, Iberia and the Mediterranean. Cooler blue and purple colors cover central and northern Europe, and pink and red colors cover Russia. He gestures toward Morocco. - u27 Torej bodo nekatere vrednosti nekoliko višje in bo malo mileje. Toda večinoma v prihodnjih nekaj dneh ne vidim nobenega večjega dela višinskega zračnega toka, ki bi se spustil proti jugu. Torej spet, razmere bodo na splošno ostajale ustaljene, več o takšnih dolgoročnejših vdorih hladnega zraka pa bomo povedali v prihodnjih videih.So it'll be a little bit milder with some of those numbers. But for the most part over the next several days, I'm not seeing any big piece of the jetream dipping down. So again, generally holding steady and we'll highlight more of those kind of longer term colder outbreaks in upcoming videos.
- u28 Veste, vedno gledam naprej, kaj, hm, prihaja, zdaj pa se nam približuje nevihtno vreme. Temperature, ki so na tem območju nad povprečjem, omejujejo sneženje, celo nekaj sneženja v višjih legah. To so obeti za sneg do, hm, 16. Torej spremljamo Alpe, Avstrijo, Švico in Italijo, kjer bo nekaj tega snega, dele Francije, Islandijo.You know, I'm always looking ahead at kind of what's uh next, but we have the storminess moving in now. Now, the temperatures running above average in the sector that does limit some of the snow, even some of the higher terrain snow. This is the snow outlook as we work our way uh through the 16. So, watching over toward the Alps, Austria, Switzerland, and Italy for some of that snow parts of France, Iceland.
8:14 · ECMWF 7-day snow forecast map for Europe through 16 Nov · A video still shows a presenter gesturing at a large screen with an ECMWF extended ensemble map of forecast 7-day snowfall over Europe, initialized 00z 6 Nov 2026. Heavy snow (purple/pink, about 20–50 cm) is forecast over the Norwegian mountains, the far north Atlantic and northern Russia. Most of western and central Europe stays snow-free, apart from the Alps and small patches in the Caucasus region. - u29 Vidite lahko nekatere od teh skupnih količin, hm, 20 centimetrov in več. In spet Norveška, celo deli Švedske, hm, predvsem pa Norveška, saj vse to nekako doteka proti nam in dobimo nekaj močnega dežja ter nekaj izrazitih valov sneženja. V nadaljevanju bom spremljal vaše komentarje. Zdaj pa te pomembne, hm, skupne količine dežja.You could see some of these totals uh 20 plus centimeters. And again, Norway, even parts of Sweden, uh but Norway in particular, just with everything just kind of flowing in at us, we get some heavy rain and some heavy batches of snow. I'll be watching your comments as we work our way forward. Now, these important uh rain totals.
- u30 To velja, če je vse v tekoči obliki, kajne? Na nekaterih od teh območij bo torej primešan tudi sneg. Tukaj ne. To je dež. S prihodom tega dežja, zlasti čez nekaj dni, pa bi lahko na posameznih območjih v delih Združenega kraljestva in Irske količine morda dosegle 75 do 100.Now, this is if everything is liquid, right? So, some of these areas there's going to be some snow mixed in. Not here. This is rain. But with that rain working in, especially in a couple days, we could get some isolated areas in parts of the UK and Ireland, maybe pushing 75 to 100.
8:47 · 5-day rain totals forecast map for UK, Ireland, Europe · A weather presenter in a checked shirt stands at left, pointing at a large screen showing a color-coded map of 5-day rainfall totals over Ireland, the UK and northwestern Europe. The heaviest totals, about 75–100 mm (3–4"), appear over the Irish Sea near Dublin and over the Atlantic southwest of Ireland. Most of Britain and continental Europe show lighter amounts, mostly trace to 25 mm. - u31 To bo mogoče. Na nekaj mestih nad 100, 100 in več tudi na Norveškem, a kot sem omenil, je nekaj od tega seveda sneg. Torej to je, hm, da, lahko bi dobili skupne količine dežja tudi 200. Hm, vendar bi se moral seveda v višjih legah primešati tudi sneg.That is going to be a possibility. A few spots upwards of of 100, 100 plus back through Norway, but as I mentioned, of course, some of this is snow. So, this is uh yes, we could get some rain totals of of 200. Uh but we should get some snow mixing in, of course, across the higher terrain.
- u32 In ko gremo na višje zemljepisne širine, velja enako za Islandijo. Dež, sneg, hm, odvisno od točne, hm, nadmorske višine in lokacije. Zdaj pa je to zelo skrb vzbujajoče. Portugalska, Španija, in omenil sem, da je treba opozorilo razširiti: ta vrtinec bo tam več dni in kaže, da bo glavnina prav nad Portugalsko in Španijo, zlasti od Madrida proti zahodu.And as we lift in latitude, same thing in Iceland. rain, snow, uh depending on exactly uh elevation and location. Now, this is huge concern. Portugal, Spain, and I mentioned just getting the word out about this, that spin is going to be out there for days, and it looks like the focus is going to be right over Portugal and Spain, especially Madrid back toward the west.
9:20 · Five-day rain totals forecast map for Europe · A video still shows a large screen with a weather map of northern and central Europe titled "5 Day Rain Totals". Colors from blue to purple, pink, red and yellow mark rainfall from trace amounts up to 250 mm (10"). The heaviest-looking bands, in purple and magenta, lie over the Atlantic west of Ireland and the UK, Iceland, parts of England and Scotland, and Finland. A presenter's hand points at the map's left side. - u33 In poglejte te barve. Tukaj ni nič snega. Hm, govorimo o belih, črnih in rdečih odtenkih. Torej nekje od 100 do 200. Velik del tega pa bi lahko padel v kratkem času. Dogajanje bo sicer živahno dneve in dneve, hm, a občasno bomo dobili močnejše valove, ko bi lahko na hitro padlo 100 ali več.And look at these colors. And there's no snow involved here. Uh we're talking about the whites, the blacks, and the reds. So, anywhere from 100 to 200. And a lot of this could come in a short period of time. Now, for days and days, we stay active. Uh, but then we'll get some heavier batches at times where we could get a quick 100 plus.
- u34 Na tem območju bodo hudourniške poplave verjetne, nekatere pa bodo celo smrtno nevarne. Če torej živite blizu območja, ki bi ga ob zelo obilnem dežju lahko zalila voda, bodite pripravljeni poiskati drugo lokacijo ali višje ležeč teren. Vem, da to ni lahko, toda najbolje je preprosto širiti opozorilo in ozaveščenost o vremenu.Flash flooding will be a likelihood in this area and even some of that life-threatening. So, if you live near an area that could take on some water when you get some substantially heavy rain, please be prepared to seek a different location or higher ground. Not easy, as I know, but the best thing is to just get the word out, the awareness with weather.
- u35 Kot veste, hm, ste del te čudovite skupnosti. Hm, pri vremenu je ozaveščenost ključna. V nadaljevanju bo seveda del tega sneg, potem pa občasno, ko se vlaga kopiči, zlasti do sredine tedna, spremljamo dele Italije, morda proti Bosni, Hrvaški, hm, toda v delih Italije, mi, v osrednji Italiji, bi lahko ponekod dosegli približno 100.As you know, uh, you're part of this great community. Uh awareness is the key with the weather. Now, as we go forward, of course, some of this will be some of the snow and then at times as the moisture builds, especially by the middle of the week, watching parts of Italy, maybe over toward Bosnia, Croatia, uh but parts of Italy, we central Italy, we could get some spots pressing about 100.
- u36 Torej res živahen vremenski vzorec z močnimi nevihtnimi sistemi in tem velikanskim vrtincem, ki bo vztrajal vse do konca prihajajočega delovnega tedna. Nevihtno dogajanje se torej vsekakor stopnjuje. Sunkovit veter. Omenil sem, da boste, če ste ob obali, hm, izberimo kraj, na Irskem, Portugalskem, v Španiji, občasno v Franciji, imeli sunke tudi nad 80 kilometrov na uro.So, really active storm pattern with this giant spin that is going to be sitting around all the way through the end of the upcoming working week. So, the storm pattern definitely cranking up. Gusty winds. I mentioned if you're along the coast, uh picking a spot, Ireland, Portugal, Spain, France at times, we're going to have those gusts upwards of 80 kilometers per hour.
- u37 Hm, spremljamo večjo verjetnost dežja. Poplave bodo ponekod krajevne, vendar precejšnje, hm, ko se vrnemo proti delom Portugalske in Španije, kot sem poudarjal. In temperature, da, nekaj razlik bo glede na to, kje ste, a večinoma ne vidim kakšnega vdora mrzlega vremena ali kakšne obsežne otoplitve.Uh watching that higher chance of rain. Those areas of flooding isolated for some substantial though uh as we get back toward parts of Portugal and Spain as I've been highlighting. And temperatures, yeah, we get some variations depending on where you are, but for the most part, I'm not seeing like this cold weather outbreak or this massive warmup.
- u38 V prihodnjih nekaj dneh bodo na splošno ostajale ustaljene. Torej pestro vremensko dogajanje. Hvaležen sem vam, da puščate komentarje. Vi ste moji opazovalci vremena na terenu in drugi jih lahko vidijo, preberejo ter ugotovijo, kaj se dogaja pri vas. V komentar napišite svojo lokacijo in kakšno vreme imate, jaz pa jih bom pregledoval ves konec tedna. Če ste na Portugalskem, v Španiji in seveda tudi drugod, prosim, pazite nase in želim vam prijeten konec tedna.the next couple days generally holding steady. So, a busy pattern. So, I appreciate you leaving your comments. You're my weather watchers out there and others get to see them and read them and see what's going on where you are. Put your location and your weather in the comment section and I'll be going through those throughout the weekend. If you're in Portugal, Spain, and of course elsewhere, please be safe and have a good weekend ahead.
11:30 · Weather broadcast: "Tracking What's Next" storm forecast · A still from a weather video shows a man in a checkered button-up shirt standing at the left in front of a large blue screen. The screen, headed "Tracking What's Next," lists four forecast points: a strengthening storm pattern, gusty winds with higher rain chance, isolated flooding, and steady temperatures.
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